Posts Tagged ‘Inflation’

Imagine my surprise.

Actually finding some good news on the inflation front.

Click on the chart to enlarge for clarity

Here’s a cash chart with what I’m writing about.

Here’s what I see using our ‘Excalibur’ and ‘Stairway’ approach to analyzing charts; a definite down-shifting in price rise momentum is taking place in the Crude Oil market.

I’ll post another chart view of this from the futures perspective next.

As you might know I’m a real believer in establishing only ‘cash equivalent’ type positions in the futures markets – (see the FAQ at the top of the page for more on this), but, it’s important to look at this or any market from several viewpoints’

Click on the chart to enlarge for clarity

My interpretation?

Big money is shifting gears, liquidating inventories and taking their profits from the recent run-up and going elsewhere with their cash.

You can’t have a shift in such a economically fundamental part of the money system without it affecting our secret inflation uptrend.

I refer to it as secret as the government denies inflation exists. Does it?

Didn’t the US government just cancel the ‘cost of living’ raises to the social security crowd because there wasn’t inflation? Confused?

Just go by the charts and indicators and not the commentary you read or hear out there.

You can judge whether a price line is going up or down.

Black isn’t White! No matter how many times someone tells you it is.

You can trust what you discern for yourself using Common Sense.

Click on the chart to enlarge for clarity

Well, here’s a chart showing many critical consumer prices combined into a index chart formerly known as the CRB Index or Inflation Index.

Sure looks like a steeply increasing inflation trend to me!

Well, all politics aside, the Good News here is that this inflation indicator index has now weakened enough to be resting on our ‘Excalibur’ money tiger line.

That means, in my opinion and that of the method, that Inflation is shifting gears and slowing down at last.

It’s slowing down at a rate greater than anytime in the last 9 months shown on the chart.

That is indeed very good news, especially if the green line is crossed going downward in trend.

With Crude Oil mentioned above as changing trend, there will be a slow-down in inflation expected as well.

Happy New Year! Here’s a good start to the year anyways. More later. - George

Disclaimer: The content on this site and article is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial product, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The ideas expressed on this site are solely the opinions of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the opinions of firms affiliated with the author(s). The author(s) may or may not have a position in any security referenced herein. Any action that you take as a result of information or analysis on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.

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Hello my friends.

It’s taken many weeks and months, but, I’ve finally had enough of the “Inflation vs. Deflation” arguments by the ‘experts’ and talking heads out there in media land. And, not just them. I’m sitting here with the latest flyer to hit my mailbox expounding on the imminent dangers of DEFLATION running amok and creating the next Great Depression.

This clever brochure has the same characteristics as most presentations on the inflation/deflation theme. Everything is backed up by charts and statistics. You could easily read or listen to either argument and agree by the end that each was correct in their assumption.

Where does that leave you but confused and a market schizophrenic. A bad state to be in when considering one’s portfolio or how to manage one’s nest egg unemotionally.

So, let’s draw back and dip our toes back into REALITY, shall we?

Can we agree as a starting point that what has NOT happened, doesn’t need to be worried about?

We can? Good. Now, we can get somewhere!

Here’s the bottom line of my observations (using my own unconventional tools):

[details, charts and those tools are only available to private members of the Money Tigers Group. Membership is FREE.]

(JOIN TODAY!). [Content protected for members only]

Disclaimer: The content on this site and article is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial product, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The ideas expressed on this site are solely the opinions of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the opinions of firms affiliated with the author(s). The author(s) may or may not have a position in any security referenced herein. Any action that you take as a result of information or analysis on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.

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