Too Much TV, Too Little Real News
Hello to all our members and visitors. Welcome.
Today seemed like a good day to step back and look at how well or ill-informed we are as a nation.
Television is a good place to start. Do you think that we’re watching enough television?Haven’t heard that question asked in, well, ever!
Is there any chance that there could there be a TV viewing deficiency in our country? Dittos here too.
We can lay that question to rest immediately, as the chart below shows:
If watching standard TV programming could educate, We'd all be flipping geniuses by now!
If education was measured by media exposure alone, then that should be reflected by the amount of television we’re exposed to vs. IQ or SAT scores.
Well, as we know, SAT scores have dropped so badly over the decades that they’ve had to adjust the ranking process to disguise the fact that educational institutions have largely failed to educate the populace.
In fact, although I don’t have the statistics, I’m sure you’re contacts with the public and employees in the public arena match mine and have convinced you as they have me that we’re actually more and more approximating the movie premise in the film “Idiocracy“.
It’s a comedy that I recommend you watch for pure entertainment, but, of course, it’s really about much more.
It’s more like the future we fear (and see) coming if we don’t take some action to change directions. The mere appearance of a movie addressing the concept of a declining intelligence overall could be a good sign that it’s coming to the surface to be noticed.
Movies can do that sometimes and the best reflections of Society and Politics often come from the court jester and ‘fool’ (in this case comedy film).
Of course, tv can educate if it’s given the right material programming, but, there’s too much competition and corporate sponsorship of junk programs and brainless shows instead. I mean, where is the real news today?
It’s on the internet!
The internet is a far better source of behind the scenes news reporting today. That’s why the major newspapers are going down in readership by such huge percentages each year now. The People know that they’re not getting the real info from the mainstream media anymore. They’ve been bought and paid for by corporate interests who are only interested in the bottom line.
Take this blog for instance. Do you think the television networks are going to tell you how many people they have addicted to their broadcasts and for how long each day?
Not likely. That’s why that chart above and the information on it came from internet news sources, not mainstream media.
I love that aspect of the internet. Presenting the truly different from a new perspective is a real kick to me and I hope it’s something you like to read here from time to time as well (along with our unconventional market reports and charts). - George
Legal Disclaimer: The content on this site and articles are provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All information on this site is given for educational purposes only.
The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.
NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES “INVESTMENT ADVICE” NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, FOREX, BONDS OR FUTURES.
The Money Tigers Group © 2011
Tags: WD Gann, stock market prediction, gold traders
The Excalibur Method, gold price predictions, timing the markets, money tigers, trading education, gold price charts, e mini trading, technical analysis
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When Interest Rates Are Low, Stocks Will Grow
The old adage “When interest rates are high, stocks will die. But, when interest rates are low, stocks will grow.” has held true enough over the decades to be a good gauge of the economy.
I’ve included a longer term chart of US BONDS to show this point.
Click on chart to enlarge for clarity
Had anyone used the Excalibur trend and trading method, they would have detected this trend years ago.
Knowing the connection between interest rates and the stock market means one would not have been surprised by the recent ‘mysterious’ rise in stock prices that we’ve been experiencing.
Recently, there has been a shift in the downward momentum of interest rates which could possibly indicate a potential lifting in rates.
This is already starting to show up with some central banks overseas raising rates.
Money is a very competitive product and governments have to compete with each other to attract international funds.
The strength of the currency attracting the investment cash is also a factor.
Click on chart to enlarge for clarity
As we can see in the next chart of the US Dollar Index, there is considerable momentum now to the upside for the US Dollar.
This means that with rising interest rates or at least stable interest rates that the US Dollar is a good place to park one’s cash as that is the place where it will grow in value.
Growing value currencies will continue to attract foreign money, even if interest rates aren’t rising at present.
Could this attraction also lead those investors out of the stock market and into the US Dollar instead?
The name of the game (in order of priority) is survival of assets, not income.
But, if you can find both, then it’s a double-win for the investor.
Now, let’s look at the stock market.
Could the stock market be showing signs that the “stocks will die” part of that old saying I mentioned at the beginning is still operative?
First off, let’s remember that interest rates are not high by any means of historical perspective.
Click on chart to enlarge for clarity
However, that being said, there has been a constant loss of momentum with each rising top in the Nasdaq 100 stock arena.
I believe we’re starting to see a downtrend beginning in this market based on trends going back over many months.
A declining stock market would shift money into the US Dollar and out of the stock markets as assets seek new safer ground.
This kind of movement on a large enough scale could lead to some pretty violent downward moves in stock prices.
But, that’s not the most important thing here.
It’s the fact that we’ve already detected this shift that’s important. That tells us that the big money is way ahead of the mass investing curve like usual, but, we’re aware of the shift.
Are we seeing the very early stages of a similar action in the stock market too?
Let’s watch, but, be forewarned that something has been shifting over the last several months.
Less buying has been taking place and earlier selling from those who hold most of the inventory of stocks.
This seems to be indicated by the Excalibur interpretation of events and, speaking for myself only, I’ll pay attention to that interpretation for now. - George
Legal Disclaimer: The content on this site and articles are provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All information on this site is given for educational purposes only.
The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.
NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES “INVESTMENT ADVICE” NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, FOREX, BONDS OR FUTURES.
The Money Tigers Group © 2011
Tags: WD Gann, stock market prediction, gold traders
The Excalibur Method, gold price predictions, timing the markets, money tigers, trading education, gold price charts, e mini trading, technical analysis
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The ‘Natives’ (Taxpayers) Are Getting Restless!
Hello everyone and thanks for your continued support.
This week I’m excited to be calling attention to another in the growing list of indicators that something odious is about the hit the fan nationwide and, perhaps in other nations around the world as well.
I think the generations now living are starting to awaken to the brazen robbery that has taken place and is threatening to grow ever larger if they don’t begin to act.
You can now see the beginning sparks of a fire which will eventually consume these rascals. We see it in the endless media stories of bankers greed and bonus payoffs. We are now seeing it even in our newspaper cartoons:
Now, it's become obvious to all of us what's going on.
I have no charts to plot these economic rumblings, but, I’ve seen enough events in enough diverse places to ferret out a new and growing trend which will not be ignored for long!
I report them here because it has great bearing on the economy and the markets I believe.
The politicians are trying to ignore it.
The talking heads and experts in the media refuse to acknowledge it and government is too ponderous, greedy and self-concerned to care.
But, the People do care. And, they’re beginning to stir.
A new revolution has started to smolder right here in the USA.
The People are starting to stand up to the bankers and politicians!
Prior to this point, many had wondered if there was any spark left in the American people. Why were there no people in the street massing towards the white house and congress?
Had people just stopped caring or had they perhaps stopped believing in government and their interests being properly represented by those in government.
Some speculated that the will for freedom had vanished long ago and been replaced by consumerism and greed.
I believe that to be wrong and, these last few weeks have pointed out the new direction that will be gaining momentum from this time forward until some sense of justice and control has been restored to the institutions of society and government.
Starting with the ‘audit the Fed’ moves to open up the secrets of the central bank that is run by bankers who are even more corrupt than their better known brethren like Goldman Sachs, etc., it is now spreading to unpredictable election results in States where a single party has had a ‘lock’ on election results for decades.
There’s a strong and growing call for the People to take action. There appear to be now some clear means of doing just that.
People are now converging on the option of voting to ‘throw the bums out’. It isn’t a vote of confidence in another party, it’s a vote of no confidence in either party!
They’re acting to end incumbency and try to limit the corruption by limiting their time in office. And, that’s not the only area either.
In Iceland, the People of the entire Nation are preparing to make the international bankers eat dirt instead of steak by not repaying the crooked loans that were foisted upon them without their consent.
And, in the US, one of the most recent and one which we should embrace in my opinion, is returning back to our local banking community and taking our money out of the ‘too big to fail’ corrupt bail-out bank crowd.
Here’s a video that sums it up nicely:
To learn more about a successful model of how every state can start to get out of it’s budget deficit problems, read about the only state that has done so since 1919: The Bank of North Dakota. This bank, owned by the State of North Dakota, has produced a billion dollar surplus to the state by making loans that support the People of the state instead of shipping money and jobs out to the East Coast or overseas.
It’s been a well-kept secret and you can learn more about it here.
Hope you enjoyed the video and give the idea some thought. – George
Legal Disclaimer: The content on this site and articles are provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All information on this site is given for educational purposes only.
The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.
NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES “INVESTMENT ADVICE” NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, FOREX, BONDS OR FUTURES.
The Money Tigers Group © 2011
Tags: WD Gann, stock market prediction, gold traders
The Excalibur Method, gold price predictions, timing the markets, money tigers, trading education, gold price charts, e mini trading, technical analysis
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The Euro & Fort Knox Gold
Hello investors, traders and the curious.
I sincerely hope your week was a good one and that it brought with it much opportunity. There certainly was that out there.
But, no matter if you missed it.
There’s always more opportunity than time and resources permit to take full advantage of it seems.
Let’s take a look at one of the developing strong currency movements in forex.
The Euro.
We can clearly see using our Excalibur approach that a long-term (almost a year in length) trend has been broken in the Euro:
Click on chart to enlarge for clarity
From a cash perspective, it would seem that another currency of rising value would be in order.
If the up trend lasted about a year, you certainly can expect this new down trend to be one that can last at least several months, if not all year.
Europe, and therefore the Euro, have problems and they’re bigger than is generally known.
The U.K. is weak and getting weaker. Greece has been found guilty of cooking their financial books and these are just ‘cracks’ in the dike.
That kind of background information is just the back story to the chart’s indicator using the Excalibur approach.
What we’re tracking here is where the largest of institutional traders (Banks, Nations like China, etc.) are shifting their money. When these tigers make their aggressive moves, they turn into elephants stampeding. There’s a lot of momentum (trading dollar volume) behind them and they’re not going to stop on a dime in the currency markets and reverse directions.
If you look at the previous blog we sent out (below this one on this page), you’ll see that I showed an alternate strong currency whose trend continues to be strongly upward; The Australian Dollar. I thought you’d like to see the comparison, so, we are looking at a week currency market this week which is shaping up to be the Euro.
GOLD:
We’re taking a look at a longer-term chart of Gold below here:
Click on chart to enlarge for clarity
When looked at with this perspective we can see that the longer-term up trend is still intact.
I’ve outlined with a red oval where there will be selling pressure developing on the next upswing in prices.
The price area outlined in red is only valid for the next few weeks or so.
If you have a shorter-term interest in this market, you’ll have to update the Excalibur line more frequently and move to shorter-term charts.
Excalibur approach is valid at every time frame. It just depends on your trading preferences.
Public demand for Gold is great. Government demand is also great.
But, there’s a very disturbing set of news bits that are not being reported in mainstream press, that, if they are true, will truly upset the Gold applecart in a way that seems to me will drive prices much, much higher.
“All the Gold in Fort Knox”??
That used to be a saying when I was growing up.
That phrase was used to refer to an ultimate repository of wealth, as in the phrase, “I wouldn’t trade my Family with theirs “for all the gold in Fort Knox”.
Well, my friends, get ready.
I now refer you to this article on an absolutely huge amount of counterfeit gold which the Chinese government received from the U.S. via transfer through London.
There were reported to be between 5,600 to 5,700 bars, weighing 400 oz. each that were not the ‘real thing’ in this huge transaction from the US to China.
Take a moment and do the calculations on those numbers but, be sure to have a huge number of digits in your calculator!
My figures show that the Chinese would have been taken for roughly around $2 Billion at $900/oz on 5600 bars and that sure isn’t petty theft! And, when the gold originated from our depository in Fort Knox and, so, essentially comes from a sovereign government like the U.S., that’s supposed to be the standard-bearer and defender of the US Dollar, that poses even greater questions about the integrity of the international gold supply.
Is this one of the reasons for the president’s recent trip to China? They’ll never tell.
If this information is true, this would be a Global heist that even Goldman-Sachs could admire in audacity and cunning.
And, the implications and history this brings into perspective could cause you a restless sleep tonight once you read more and give it some thought.
This story goes back to, at least, 2004 according to the article I’ve referencing. I wonder if, in fact, it goes back even further back, say, to around 2001?
On 9/11/01 another gold depository located below the twin towers in New York City was violently violated.
In addition, the Comex Gold exchange was destroyed and, undoubtedly, records went missing in the destruction and chaos that ensured.
Massive amounts of Gold were ‘lost’ temporarily and then found again (or were they ‘salted’ with counterfeit bars at that convenient time of crisis and fear?) . This new information makes one suspicious.
One thing our times are teaching us is that there really is no limit to greed and amount of theft some are willing to dare in pursuit of financial and political power.
But, that’s another story and the news in this article is certainly enough all by itself.
I cannot go into it in this blog, so, set aside 10 minutes and go to the article, but, be sure to watch your blood pressure!
It’s all food for thought. Thanks for visiting. - George
Legal Disclaimer: The content on this site and articles are provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All information on this site is given for educational purposes only.
The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.
NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES “INVESTMENT ADVICE” NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, FOREX, BONDS OR FUTURES.
The Money Tigers Group © 2011
Tags: WD Gann, stock market prediction, gold traders
The Excalibur Method, gold price predictions, timing the markets, money tigers, trading education, gold price charts, e mini trading, technical analysis
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Preserving and Growing CASH Reserves
There’s still plenty of chaos and questions out there in the investment world this New Year.
But, what I find myself thinking about is protecting the basic underlying value of my assets.
Where can I be, at least somewhat, protected from the surprises that surely await this coming year?
While I’ve pointed out many short-term opportunities and swings in intra-day and daily trends on this blog, what I’m going to write about (in this posting) will be asset protection, and not short-term investment opportunities, but trends that last up to a year and more.
In the past, I’ve pointed to the Australian Dollar as one of those “safe havens” in today’s world of investment.
The Monthly Chart of the Australian Dollar vs. the US Dollar shows just why that is.
Look at this long-term up trend (follow the green-arrowed line)!
Click on chart to enlarge for clarity
This isn’t a an individual stock, a stock market, commodity or a day trading opportunity that will be gone in an hour.
The Australian Dollar represents a nation and a resource rich nation in a day and age when there is an increasingly incredible demand for more and more basic resources.
The fact that one of those Australian resources is Gold is still another positive factor.
But, even pushing that to the side for the moment, where else could you have experienced essentially 3% growth per month on your MONEY by still having CASH in your control sitting in a bank account at that??
Think about it for a second.
If you converted cash into Australian Dollars and had those Australian Dollars in an Australian Dollar account in a bank, not only would you have made around 36% gains in the VALUE of your CASH, but, you would have also gained interest on the cash account as well.
And, that interest would have also been paid to you in a rising value currency (Australian Dollars), not a depreciating one (US Dollar).
Yes, there have been higher appreciating markets out there. But, there’s an entirely different feel to CASH, I’m sure you’ll agree.
This isn’t Gold, which has become an investment (an therefore a manipulated) vehicle.
This is CASH- Where every investment eventually comes back to rest up for the next foray out into the chaotic money-world.
You could have even made 36% on your Australian Dollars if they had been socked into pillow-case, tied up and tossed into the attic for a year.
Well, you see the point.
One doesn’t always have to be ‘busy’ investing to increase one’s net worth. A few carefully chosen long-term trends in non-leveraged areas can serve you well.
Will the Australian Dollar continue it’s performance for this next year?
W.D. Gann, probably the Greatest Trader of the 20th Century, used to say that there is a time and trend for every market and that, when that time is up, the trend would have to shift directions.
The chart above shows that the long-term trend is still intact and, for that to change directions will take quite a shift in momentum. But, of course, some day even this fine market trend will end.
But, you can rest assured that there will be some other cash-equivalent area of growth that can protect one’s asset value.
There always is. There always will be.
Smart money always has a place of refuge, so, Let’s just follow the smart money!
We’ll keep putting the ‘Excalibur’ tool to work to find just where that is during the year. -George
Legal Disclaimer: The content on this site and articles are provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All information on this site is given for educational purposes only.
The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.
NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES “INVESTMENT ADVICE” NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, FOREX, BONDS OR FUTURES.
The Money Tigers Group © 2011
Tags: WD Gann, stock market prediction, gold traders
The Excalibur Method, gold price predictions, timing the markets, money tigers, trading education, gold price charts, e mini trading, technical analysis
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2010 – Euro Trend Down?
Hello 2010 and hello to our friends in the Money Tigers Group.
Glad to greet all of our readers again on this new side of the yearly calendar.
We start this year with a trend that promises to last for several months minimum.
I’m talking about the EUR/USD forex pair.
The Euro is definitely on our trend line radar and the direction is down.
The Euro is acting weaker than other currencies at present and may be the leader of the pack going out of the gate early.
This is particularly important if you are implementing a cash equivalent strategy.
In short, that strategy encourages cash ownership of commodities or having the ability to completely fund the total valuation of a futures contract.
In the case of currencies, this approach would consist of parking cash itself in a strong currency account so that one can take advantage of interest paid in a strong, rising currency and benefit from increased valuation of the cash deposit as well.
A weakening Euro means that Euros should be converted into a stronger currency.
At present, those currencies with the strongest performance for growth of value are the US DOLLAR and possibly the AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR.
THE BRITISH POUND Vs. JAPANESE YEN:
The British Pound has lost a little of it’s downward momentum, but is still solidly locked into a down trend.
It would take some mighty upward action capable of breaching the red arrow trend line on the chart on the left before this strong decline could end and reverse directions.
A weakening Euro will certainly not help the British Pound. Quite the opposite would be the guess in fact.
We’ll comment on some alternative hard assets besides Gold in the next posting.
All the best, – George
Legal Disclaimer: The content on this site and articles are provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All information on this site is given for educational purposes only.
The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.
NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES “INVESTMENT ADVICE” NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, FOREX, BONDS OR FUTURES.
The Money Tigers Group © 2011
Tags: WD Gann, stock market prediction, gold traders
The Excalibur Method, gold price predictions, timing the markets, money tigers, trading education, gold price charts, e mini trading, technical analysis
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