Chinese Yuan Downtrending

 THE CHINESE YUAN CONTINUES IT’S DECLINE

By G. R. Harrison (2014)

chineseYuan

Charts courtesy of Yahoo Finance
Click on chart to enlarge for clarity

Continuing in our ‘Appraisal Reports’ for major Currencies of late, we come next to the Chinese Yuan.

The current price chart of the CNY/USD for a multi-year period is shown to the left. This particular chart was prepared some days ago.

Although most media have been reporting the recent upswing in the Yuan, the underlying momentum for this market is still downwards in direction.

We’ll take a more recent snapshot of this market with the next chart down.

This second chart shows that the downward drift of prices has continued even further.

To further confirm the down trend of the Chinese Yuan as indicated by the CNY/USD chart, we should expect prices to decline over time. Let’s see if this is so . . .

chineseyuan2

This is the current trend for this currency which, in turn, strengthens the Chinese economic position by decreasing the costs of their exports.

As the Economy of a nation is reflected in it’s currency, we can draw some conclusion from the emphasis that nation places on it’s money.

As the US DOLLAR is rising, causing exports to be more expensive from the USA, China is purposefully decreasing the value of it’s controlled currency in order to maintain it’s World exporting edge and to support it’s own industries.

This places China in the stronger position of the two economically relative to supporting it’s own industrial base. - George

 

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THE EXCALIBUR TRADING METHOD

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CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE 

This is the method that I developed in order to find the true ‘intentions’ of the institutional traders in every market.

This approach is unique and, is not a conventional trend tool. The theory behind this exceptional analytical tool was derived from my many decades of research into W.D. Gann’s methods and writings as well as those of the ‘mercantile principles’ from the business side of the markets.

As the years rolled by, rediscoveries of lost principles of the markets were accumulated into what is now called the ‘Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course’.

‘The Excalibur Method’ is now part of the Master Course but, still may be purchased separately for a little while longer. You can read testimonials here.

The first half of the manual introduces a new paradigm and perspective for identifying what I call the ‘intentions’ or ‘objectives’ of the big market interests who clearly control the market trends. The Excalibur Method’s purpose is to allow one to place themselves in alignment with the plans of those who make the markets by using a mathematical tool to extract and interpret those plans. This information is a restricted release product. E-mail me HERE for price & availability

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The rediscovery of these WD Gann lost secrets (and many more) as well as other completely original discoveries are available to a limited number of students each year through The Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course. Contact me by e-mail for price and availability by clicking the box above.

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Stock Market Pivot Time?

Week of Feb. 10th, 2014:

A Potential Pivot Point for the Stock Market

The present retracement in the stock market has reached an important pivot price point.

stockpivot

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by WDGann-Lost-Secrets.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

The chart to the left shows the present pivot price point of interest for the stock market.

The recent down slide in price remains intact until we cross certain price thresholds.

The red downward triangle is pointing to the critical price level to watch for the DJIA.

Should prices rise rapidly above the present price level, I’d consider the downswing to be completed and a renewal a new upswing to be underway.

In addition, on a daily basis, WD Gann timing techniques favor this day as a top with another turn point 3 days into the future to watch.

Have a great week ahead. - George

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Week of Jan. 13th, 2014:

The Dow Jones Stock Index This Week . . .

djiaupdate

Where are we in the Stock Market this week?

As we’re presently pulling back some from the recent top, we find ourselves poised between the two price areas shown on this chart with the green and red horizontal lines.

The green line at the top shows a strong price resistance point at the 16,500 right now. It will take a little pause and pullback in price to ready the market momentum for a new surge upwards to break through the green line price level.

On the other hand, the market itself has a strong support price area at work at the 16,000 price area as shown by the lower red line below present prices. It’s entirely possible that prices may decline this week, however, they’re likely to stay above the support area while doing it. - George

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Reality: A Road to Better Market Timing

WD Gann’s Key to Better Market Timing

Besides the great importance of being aligned with the dominant trend when trading or investing, WD Gann proved that there’s also the necessity of discerning a change in those trends (using market timing techniques) as early as possible.

Now, while the absolute top and bottom of a price move is what most newcomers to the markets think is what should be aimed for, a step back and analysis of the statistics will correct the notion that tops and bottoms are what should be the main focus of market timing.

In any time period, there will be an absolute high and low which will occur within that time frame. That is the Top and the Bottom of that market for that time period.

For a Year, which constitutes about 220 trading days, that means if we are trying to target those two single points of the High and the Low randomly, we’d have only 2 chances out of 220 of being correct in our assessments.

The percentage odds of that approach being ‘right-on-the-money’ correct are only .9 %!

Put another way,  we have 99.1% odds of missing the High and the Low for the Year!

And, in the investing field, that means, at least half the time, selling too early to find the top (creating losses) and buying too early looking for the lowest low (also creating losses). That translates into loss for the trader and investor who tries to top and bottom pick at least 50% of the time!

WD Gann and Crude Oil Timing

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by WDGann-Lost-Secrets.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

‘Hope’ is fictional, Reality is self-defined

Tops and Bottoms to markets ARE Reality and, therefore, define themselves.

Hoping for a price top or bottom before the fact is, by definition, an act of fiction that can eventually lead to Chaos.

Price Tops and Bottoms become ‘self-evident’ by what follows after they’re made.

TO READ MORE . . . CLICK HERE

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Nikkei 225 at short-term turn?

NIKKEI 225 POISED AT IMPORTANT PRICE TRIGGER POINT

This week’s action is subdued due to the US Holiday but, the Nikkei 225 is resting upon an important price trigger point. TO READ MORE, BECOME A MEMBER.

IT’S FREE. CLICK HERE TO JOIN. [Private_Free Observer Level Membership],   [Content protected for members only]

WD GANN: GOLD & SILVER PRICE ANGLES

IMPORTANT GANN ANGLES IN PLAY

To update ourselves on market price realities of GOLD & SILVER and, at the same time, further distance ourselves from market propaganda let’s pull back to the solid world of mathematics, geometry and WD GANN.

By applying a sense of balance to market prices to separate time periods (Daily and Weekly) we can plot the angles which WD Gann made famous. I’m speaking now of the 45 degree angle applied in a disciplined way to the Gold & Silver markets.

You can view the results in the two charts following for both the Gold and the Silver markets. The results will show that on the daily basis weakness in price persists.

First, the SILVER market which is the weaker of the two at present:

WD GANN and Silver price trends

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by Money-tigers.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

This market remains below it’s long-term 45 degree price angle and also it’s shorter-term Daily price angle (shown on the chart above).

The bottom line?

Silver remains weak and the pressure is to go still lower in price on just the momentum angle analysis alone.

As for the GOLD market, as you can see below, Gold has also adhered to the downward price pressure as indicated by the declining price angle shown for the daily prices.

WD GANN and GOLD price trends

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by Money-tigers.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

The longer-term perspective for Gold prices is not as weak as the shorter-term lines indicate.

In fact, we’re about $300 above the critical angle from the 2013 High in Gold.

We’ve hit the support angle long-term four times this year so far, but, to touch it again would require a much larger fall in Gold prices (as mentioned $300 further downwards as of this date.

Gold prices are presently favoring a less steep descent of around $50 every 2-weeks as shown in the chart.

Newcomers can check this website’s archives where you’ll find that I predicted these lower Gold prices some time ago using other techniques (like the Excalibur Method).

I haven’t altered my outlook on the present downtrend for the solid reasons presented by these techniques.- George

US Bonds at Crucial Pivot Point

US BONDS ARE EXTENDED IN TIME & PRICE

The US Bond market is an incredibly long-term and slow-moving market; at least when it comes to major shifts in interest rates.

All the angles have been played to keep interest rates down and, even so, there’s been a slow drift downwards indicating a slight bump upwards in interest rates.

It was just a matter of time before certain Time & Price scenarios came to pass lining us up to an important pivot area of price and time.

That time is between now and the end of this year as we’re at the end of the natural reaction periods on a 6-month basis, but, also for the 1-year trend as well. As we examine the chart below, we see that we’re right on one of the trigger areas (shown with the red horizontal bar below the present market price.

US Bond and interest rate trends

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by Money-tigers.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

This same scenario is being played out in the Time dimension as well and seeing the convergence of both 6-month reactions and the one-year reactions gives all the more importance to this particular time for US BONDS.

A rebound upwards towards lower interest rates would almost require that those rates go to even lower levels than previously record low levels.

However, a further breakdown in prices from here would take us into familiar territory which we’ve visited only a few years back. The potential of revisiting the ‘familiar’ is actually another reason to place more weight on the downside potential. An Excalibur Line applied to the daily level will help reveal the market’s choice earlier than this longer-term chart alone.

WD Gann recommended using 3 types of chart time periods for most markets: Daily, Weekly and Monthly. By using the monthly and weekly charts, one could maintain better perspective and stay with the major trend. One could then focus in at critical turn moments to catch shifts in trend using the shorter time-period daily charts. - George

China 25 Stock Index Breakout

The China 25 Index Shifts to Overdrive

With so many eyes focused on the runaway US Stock Market, most have ignored that the Chinese Stock Market (as represented by the China 25 Index; stock symbol FXI) has shifted out of neutral and into overdrive with Friday’s close.

The accompanying chart shows the last time that such a trigger (using the Excalibur Method of analysis) was given and what followed.

China25

A new up-trending momentum trigger has been generated for FXI and, is shown by the green horizontal bar at the right top of the chart above.

This would coincide with a money flow shift to Asia. As to where this money flow is coming from, there are enough crises in the West to provide an ample set of clues. But, if I were to take a best guess, I’d say that money is being taken out of treasury bonds and is being repatriated back to China.

If so, then, there will be a tremendous upside potential for the Chinese Stock Market (as well as other investments such as China Real Estate; which, perhaps not so coincidentally is also strongly trending upwards). – George

Copper: Global Economic Slowdown Continues

COPPER:

Prices Indicate That Deflation Continues

A new SELL trigger analysis for the COPPER market was indicated using the Excalibur Method as our guide.

The chart below shows two of these SELL points for the Copper Market. These continued declines further confirm the global economic slowdown and the deflationary environment that is actually at play in the world.

Copper SELL  trigger points using the Excalibur Method of analysis

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by Money-tigers.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

Watch for lower prices to confirm the new break downwards. If prices rise above $3.45, then, this would indicate that renewed momentum is in play and the end of deflationary prices in Copper may be coming to an end. - George

WD Gann Techniques: Still Working to This Day

SHOWING ONE OF WD GANN’S HIDDEN TECHNIQUES AT WORK IN THE CRUDE OIL MARKET

The chart below illustrates a technique that hasn’t been displayed since WD Gann’s day back in the 1950′s in his personal papers.

crude3

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by Money-tigers.com

There’s a sequence of previous tops and bottoms along with another predicted* for the near future.

This technique demolishes the so-called ‘random-walk’ theory of the markets and is, in my opinion, one of the reasons behind WD Gann’s great trading and investing success over a 50-year period. His successes were rumored to be worth over $50 Million dollars during this time, and, that’s when a million dollars was worth a whole lot more in purchasing power than it is today!

This almost lost technique (and many others) will be available publicly (until Deceimber 15th) to 5 more purchasers before again disappearing from public view.

The two-volume Collection called ‘Rediscovering WD Gann’s Lost Trading Secrets’ opens up WD Gann’s perspective on the markets, price charts and Time & Price Secrets.

A perspective he developed and applied over a half-century of trading.

If you want to be one of the remaining five-individuals world-wide to have access to techniques like the one shown above through this two-volume Collection, contact me HERE. - George

*(Disclaimer: This is a forecast and forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future results.).

CRUDE OIL: A $7,000 Move in 12-Days

PREVIOUS CRUDE OIL ANALYSIS PICKED THE TRIGGER PRICE

Our October 16th post to this page outlined a support price for Crude Oil at $100.

It also warned that the breaking of this support price would lead to much lower prices. The October 27th post targeted as low as the $93 region for a possible stopping place on the way to still lower prices.

Well, here we are just 12 days from the first alert to the $93 price area and, already the market has moved almost $7,000 in futures contract value.

crude1

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by Money-tigers.com

Critical to picking these type of important price trigger points is a method of analysis called The Excalibur Method.

This method has been used by an extremely private and small group for several years to seek out and pinpoint critical price trigger areas like that just witnessed in Crude Oil. All of that small group obtained this special method of market analysis from only one source; here . . . On this website and only by contacting me privately by e-mail HERE.

NOTICE OF FUTURE RESTRICTED AVAILABILITY FOR THE EXCALIBUR METHOD

I’ll be making available a few more copies of the Excalibur Method before the end of the year, but, not many copies.

In fact, after December, there may not be additional copies available until the end of March of 2014 or even later and, the price will be going up.

Already, there are no more sales being made in some regions of the world as part of the plan to gradually withdraw The Excalibur Method from public access.

It’s never been my fantasy that everyone should have access to this method nor, has it been my intention. However, I believe (and have witnessed) that there are a few traders and investors who can take this technique to literally make their trading dreams come true.

So, if you’ve been interested but haven’t acted as yet, take some time and look at the archives and the many accurate predictions that have been made on this site over the last 4-years time.

Then, act by contacting me privately by e-mail HERE. - George

WD GANN SQUARES OF TIME & PRICE

THE WD GANN SECRET TO CHARTS LIKE THIS . . .

eurosquares

CAN BE FOUND IN THE REMAINING 5 SETS OF

‘REDISCOVERING WD GANN’S LOST TRADING SECRETS’

RediscoveringYrEndSpecial-MT_5

A RARE, UNIQUE & SIGNED TWO-VOLUME SET

By George R. Harrison

This double-volume set reveals 16 previously unknown, but, secretly ‘embedded’ trading techniques of WD GANN, a Master Trader reputed to have taken over $50 Million dollars from both the Commodity and the Stock Market in the first half of the 20th Century.

Mr. Gann’s greatest trading techniques were his closely-guarded treasure intentionally hidden from the general public. These hidden tools for market analysis were true gems that could only be revealed by rediscovering natural laws, mathematical truths and reverse-engineering to match Mr. Gann’s own private papers and charts.

These very same precious methods are now, at last, presented within a privately-published, 2-Volume signed set that’s being offered in extremely limited numbers at this time.

This opportunity is intended for those committed followers of WD GANN and those seekers who want to go beyond his standard courses and books and who wish to learn to read the ‘hidden’ secrets that are embedded at deeper levels of Gann’s work.

After December 15th, 2013 . . .

THIS SET DISAPPEARS FOREVER!

URGENT NOTICE!

  • I have only 5 sets of this personalized, registered and signed special collection available for sale before December 15th this year, after which they will not be publicly available again.
  • This Collection is for serious students and individuals who realize the rarity and value of this unique information and who are willing to make an investment in understanding the deeper secrets of WD GANN.
  • For just such qualified students, I offer a Special Price & Offer that will also open the door to the Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course for just two additional payments after purchase of this 2-Volume Set. Once again, this offer is only good until December 15th of this year.
  • WHO TO CONTACT? . . . Contact George to place your order for one of the 8 remaining sets.

URGENT NOTICE!

  • I have only 5 remaining sets of this personalized, registered and signed special collection available for sale before December 15th this year, after which they may not be made available again.
  • This Collection is for serious students and individuals who realize the rarity and value of this unique information and who are willing to make an investment in understanding the deeper secrets of WD GANN.
  • For just such qualified students, I offer a Special Price & Offer that will also open the door to the Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course for just two additional payments after purchase of this 2-Volume Set. Once again, this offer is only good until December 15th of this year.
  • WHO TO CONTACT? . . . Contact George to place your order for one of the 5 remaining sets.

 

GBP/JPY Follow-up

GBP/JPY TURNS AT PREDICTED SUPPORT PRICE

Here’s a chart showing what happened after the last post’s prediction for a support price area in the Pound/Yen (GBP/JPY) forex pair:

gbpjpy3

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by Money-tigers.com

Prices reversed and trended upwards from exactly the price support area predicted and, are following a moderate upswing in momentum at present (see the green upwards area for rough trajectory). - George

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A reminder: These posts are purely for educational purposes only concerning my own private methods of analysis and are not recommendations or advice to buy or sell or to really do anything except to observe, along with me the rhythm of market price movements and try to align ourselves with them.